Betting Dork With Gill Alexander

Director/Managing Editor at ProFootballFocus.com and NFL Writer at NBC Rotoworld, Mike Clay joins Host Gill Alexander in an effort to maximize the impact and minimize mistakes in your mid- to late round fantasy football draft picks.  It's all through the prism of advanced stats, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (August 28, 2012).

It's the final regular season baseball podcast of 2012, but with 40 games left of betting value to exploit, author and baseball betting fund manager, Joe Peta, joins Host Gill Alexander and makes it his business to give you the 4th quarter's betting edge.  The Orioles, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Royals, Athletics, Angels, Pirates, Dodgers, Giants, Diamondbacks, and Padres are all discussed.  Plus, it's the pod's staple of exclusive MLB betting stats, including the best/worst money line (home/road splits), best/worst run line, and best/worst run production/prevention 1st 5 innings and 1st inning clubs.  And, Gill and sabermetrician Basewinner discuss the single most reliable over and under umpires in baseball this season, the former of which is behind home plate tonight, and the ballgame for which the betting stars have aligned tonight in the 1st inning betting category.  All of that and Basewinner's picks, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (August 21, 2012).

It's that time of year.  Writer of the "Vegas Hotline" column at The National Football Post, Joe Fortenbaugh joins Host Gill Alexander to kick off the football betting season with heavily researched trends designed to inform your 2012 NFL win totals and futures wagers.  From 3 key metrics to the curse of the 10-win season to what both turnover differential and points per game fluctuations can tell us, if you haven't begun to think about the upcoming season yet, continuing to ignore these findings will be at your own financial peril. Plus, Kirk Chamberlin of Cantor Gaming delivers his 2012 PGA Championship selections, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (August 7, 2012).

No one knows fantasy baseball better than Paul Sporer of Baseball Prospectus and PaulSporer.com, and inherent in that advice has come some of the most instantly convertable-to-cash betting advice this podcast has known.  Today, Paul returns to chat with Host Gill Alexander about the implications of MLB's trade deadline moves and who the biggest candidates for improvement and drop-off are on the mound moving forward for the rest of this season.  And from the man who gave us the Fade Derek Lowe ATM machine since his last guest spot, we get this episode's equivalent, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (July 25, 2012).

A pod favorite from the preseason and quarter mark of 2012 MLB, Joe Peta, author of the forthcoming book, "Trading Bases, A Story about Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball* (*) Not necessarily in that order", drops back in on Host Gill Alexander just past the halfway point of the season, to give his unique perspective on some choice clubs. But first, Mark Cuban floated a sports betting hedge fund idea over 7 years ago and we've seen Centaur Galileo's Fund come and go since, but you might be very interested to hear what our guest is up to in Las Vegas right now, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (July 17, 2012).

Grantland.com writer and podcast host Jonah Keri drops in on Host Gill Alexander at the All-Star Break to track his 2012 MLB spring training divisional picks and team win totals bets, and to discuss whether or not he beleives the Pirates and Nationals are for real.  Then, as tradition dictates, Gill and Basewinner review midseason betting stats, including the best and worst money line (home/road splits) and run line clubs in baseball, the most reliable over/under umpires, the best/worst run production/prevention first 5 inning and 1st inning clubs, and the best/worst 1st inning starters (OBPA).  Plus, the 2012 Sabermetrics All-Star rotation, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (July 10, 2012).

It's a follow-up conversation to last year's popular blackjack pod from Vegas Runner and Host Gill Alexander.  This time, VR updates us on his organized team blackjack play, and then launches into specific useable information that anyone traveling to Vegas can apply at the tables, serving to reduce house edge, increase comps, and enhance overall experience, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (June 26, 2012).

This one is fun.  Skyping across the pond with Euro 2012 in full swing, Host Gill Alexander welcomes William Hill Football Podcast Host Lee Phelps to discuss an array of mutual curiosities, including why the British have such low expectations of England's prospects on the international football stage, and the many differences in the gambling cultures of England and the United States.  Plus, in a week dominated by both Euro 2012 and U.S. Open Golf, where might the betting value currently lie in both events?  Lee offers up his thoughts on both, including which nations might still be the most intriguing futures plays in the former, and which two European golfers ought to be on your radar on the latter.  Plus, Premier League value and boxing thoughts, as well, on Monday's international Betting Dork (June 11, 2012).

With a big time prize fight and horse race slated for the weekend, who says one can only bet on baseball and basketball this time of year?  First, Pregame Pro Vegas Runner drops in on Host Gill Alexander and, let's just say, the two don't tend to script things.  From Electric Daisy to Twitter pics to nail appointments for men, VR and Gill eventually get around to discussing the merits of betting on the Pacquiao/Bradley fight and where the value might lie within, as well as engaging in a free flow on interleague baseball and the NBA Playoffs.  Then, in their continuing series, Pregame Pro Marco D'Angelo and Pro Football Weekly's Mike Wilkening break down Saturday's Belmont Stakes with an eye toward whether or not I'll Have Another can pull of horse racing's 12th Triple Crown, on Thursday's Betting Dork (June 7, 2012).

If it's baseball you like, there's something for everyone in this 3-in-1 pod.  Author Joe Peta leads off and helps Host Gill Alexander put interleague play into proper perspective.  Then Baseball Prospectus' Paul Sporer delivers the fantasy goods and isolates the pitchers and hitters (both major and minor leagues) that you should have on your radar moving forward in 2012 and which ballplayers might be due for a regression to the downside.  Then, in what has been a staple of the podcast, Gill and Basewinner run through a menu of MLB betting stats, including the best and worst money line (home/road splits) and run line clubs in baseball, the most and least profitable starters, the most reliable over and under umpires, the best and worst first 5 inning clubs, and the best and worst 1st inning clubs and starters.  Plus, Basewinner's picks of the day, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (May 30, 2012).

Author of the forthcoming book, "Trading Bases, A Story about Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball* (*) Not necessarily in that order", Joe Peta joins Host Gill Alexander to shed light on baseball's biggest stories at the quarter pole of the 2012 season using underreported barometers like defensive efficiency and BABIP. What's really going on with the torrid starts of the Orioles and Dodgers, and are clubs like the Tigers, Nationals, and Blue Jays really what they appear to be?  Plus, since they're all about putting things in perspective, the Facebook IPO gets put in its proper context, as well, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (May 23, 2012). 

With the second round of the NBA Playoffs in full swing, Marc Spears of Yahoo! Sports joins Host Gill Alexander live from Oklahoma City to discuss whether the Lakers, Sixers, or Clippers have any shot of advancing, and whether the Heat is really in trouble.  Plus, with the second leg of Horse Racing's Triple Crown in front of us, Pregame Pro Marco D'Angelo and Pro Football Weekly's Horse Racing buff Mike Wilkening give their Preakness insights, on Thursday's Betting Dork (May 17, 2012).

Horse Racing expert Marco D'Angelo (he who called the Derby win of 30-1 shot Animal Kingdom last year) and Pro Football Weekly racing aficionado Mike Wilkening drop in on Host Gill Alexander for this annual extensive Kentucky Derby preview. The many tenets of horse racing handicapping are examined, including weighting the significance of the three different types of horses entered, post position, jockeys, recent performance, and trainers, while isolating the horses in this year's Run for the Roses that form the group on which bets will be made come the first Saturday in May.  And yes, the long shot of choice is discussed.  Plus, analytics on the Triple Crown and breeding that will change your thinking on the sport. It's a discussion you won't hear anywhere else, on Friday's Betting Dork (May 4, 2012).

Typically, pro football scribes shy away from the verboten topic of betting.  But there are exceptions, and Pro Football Weekly Senior Editor and Handicapping Writer Mike Wilkening is most certainly one of them.  Mike joins Host Gill Alexander to offer up his three best 2012 NFL Draft proposition bets (# of QB's selected in the 1st Round, who will get picked with the #6 pick, when will Brandon Weeden will get selected) and what pitfalls you want to avoid along the way, on Wednesday's Betting Dork (April 25, 2012).

The annual ritual is here.  Sports betting market expert and Pregame pro Vegas Runner drops in on his old podcast stomping grounds and gives Host Gill Alexander an exclusive on his 2012 MLB World Series futures bets.  Long shots, mid-range shots, and value-laden shorter shots are all included.  Plus, Gill outlines early season 1st inning and first 5 inning statistics, and sabermetrician Basewinner drops in to offer up his best MLB bets of the day, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (April 17, 2012).

After a string of betting and fantasy focused baseball podcasts, Bomani Jones of SBNations's "Bomani & Jones" and ESPN's "Outside the Lines" hooks up with Host Gill Alexander for a freeflow on all sorts of modern day beefs and falls from grace.  Bomani v Darren Rovell, Jalen Rose v Skip Bayless, Piers Morgan v Toure, Ozzie Guillen v His Own Mouth, and Bobby Petrino v Truth.  It'll all make sense once you listen to Wednesday's Betting Dork (April 11, 2012).

Author of the forthcoming book, "Trading Bases, A Story about Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball* (*) Not necessarily in that order", Joe Peta drops back in on Host Gill Alexander for the second straight week to discuss the value of isolating non-repeatable occurrences in handicapping, why bullpens are not as predictive as other facets of baseball, and the impact of MLB scheduling.  Plus, what started as a trickle of 2012 MLB team total thoughts last week turns into a torrential downpour, as fresh off their discussion of the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals in Part 1, Joe and Gill analyze the prospects of the Texas Rangers, Miami Marlins, New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres, and Arizona Diamondbacks, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (April 3, 2012).

Author of the forthcoming book "Trading Bases, A Story about Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball* (*) Not necessarily in that order", Joe Peta might just be the type of guy Host Gill Alexander would have tried creating from scratch if he had a lab and his last name were Frankenstein.  That is, if Peta hadn't existed already.  Ironically buoyed by an accident that turned his life upside down, Peta brings a fresh and inventive viewpoint to handicapping baseball and among other unique MLB revelations, offers up a sampling of his best team totals bets for 2012 through the prism of "cluster luck".  Then, it's part two of the 2012 Fantasy Baseball Preview, as Paul Sporer gives his most overvalued and undervalued skill position players for this week's draft and/or auction, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (March 27, 2012).

For whatever reason, baseball remains the sport that amateur bettors are most reticent to play.  Host Gill Alexander's yearly crusade is to combat that unsound thinking.  In this annual segment, Gill welcomes sabermetrician Basewinner to outline the basic tenets of MLB betting for the uninitiated, and to make the case for why the sport is the single most profitable and rational in which to immerse onself from a betting standpoint.  Then, fantasy baseball geeks, your time has come.  No one has written more extensively on starting pitching throughout MLB heading into your 2012 fantasy draft or auction than Paul Sporer.  He stops by to share his views on who some of the most overvalued and undervalued starters are in the majors, headed into Opening Day 2012, on Tuesday's Betting Dork (March 20, 2012).

No show on television or on-line breaks down the madness quite like this.  Pregame Pros Vegas Runner and Dave Essler dissect all 32 second round 2012 NCAA Basketball Tournament matchups from an ATS standpoint, while Host Gill Alexander provides game theory you should consider for your office pools and advanced stats that will help you gain an edge.  What are the 4 characteristics that all National Champions have shared since 2000, and what 7 teams in this year's field possess them?  What 8-9 matchup features the widest difference in BPI and which features up the two squads who are ranked closest by this metric?  Which are the most overrated and underrated teams in the field, according to BPI?  All of those answers and more, on Tuesday's annual March Madness edition of the Betting Dork (March 13, 2012).