Trend Following With Michael Covel

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Interview on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Kathryn Kaminski, the Director of Investment Strategies at Campbell and Co–the famed CTA started by Keith Campbell. Today, Kaminski outlines her new whitepaper, specifically diving into correlation among traders (CTAs). The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Correlation between fund managers and strategies The media's misrepresentation of systematic strategies Diversification in the CTA and equity world Why one trend following strategy is similar to just one stock Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.

My guest today is Gavin Serkin. He has been writing about developing economies for the better part of two decades as the Editor of Portfolio International magazine and more recently as the head of the emerging markets international desk at Bloomberg News in London. Serkin led Bloomberg's coverage of the credit and derivatives markets from 2004 to 2008, winning the Society of American Business Editors & Writers' Best in Business Award and the Society of Professional Journalists' Deadline Club Award. The topic is his book Frontier: Exploring the Top Ten Emerging Markets of Tomorrow. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Safety issues in frontier lands Men and women in frontier countries Global brands and the direction we're headed Mark Mobius Myanmar and violence Nigeria's economy and where it's headed Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decisi

My guest today is Spyros Makridakis, the Rector of the Neapolis University of Pafos NUP and an Emeritus Professor of Decision Sciences at INSEAD as well as the University of Piraeus and one of the world's leading experts on forecasting, with many journal articles and books on the subject. He is famous as the organizer of the Makridakis Competitions, known in the forecasting literature as the M-Competitions. His calling is to poke holes in the notion that we can forecast with accuracy. The topic is his paper Why Forecasts Fail. What to Do Instead. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns The two main types of uncertainty–"subway" and "coconut" Jim Collins, one of the best-selling business book authors of all time, and why it might not have any use to us Medicine and chance The placebo effect Acceptance of an uncertain world The illusion of control Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 1

My guest today is Martin Lueck. Lueck holds an M.A. in Physics from Oxford University and currently is the Research Director and President of Aspect Capital. Lueck was originally with Adam, Harding and Lueck Limited (AHL), which he co-founded with Michael Adam and David Harding. At AHL, Martin initially focused on trading system research before taking on responsibility for the further development of the proprietary software language which provided the platform for all of AHL's product engineering and implementation. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Quantitative, systematic styles in action The beginnings of AHL Early coding experiences Early decisions that lead to a completely systematic strategy Diversification What percentage of the educated financial audience grasps the strategies that are used at Aspect Behavioral economics Bringing new potential opportunities into Aspect Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to

My guest today is Ryan Holiday, an American author, writer, and marketer. He is the media strategist behind authors Tucker Max and Robert Greene, the former Director of Marketing for American Apparel and an editor-at-large for the New York Observer. The topic is writing a book. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Always being in a research mindset Why some people don't take advantage of standing on the shoulders of the giants that came before them To know where you're going and to have a plan when it comes to writing; why it's "all material" The idea of listening to the same song over and over again The "flow" state and its importance in writing The importance of having a purpose in your writing Discipline and commitments Outsourcing and hiring experts for your writing project Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior,

My guest today is Victor Ricciardi, an Assistant Professor of Financial Management at Goucher College. Professor Ricciardi is a leading expert on the academic literature and emerging research issues in behavioral finance. He is the editor of several eJournals distributed by the Social Science Research Network (SSRN). Ricciardi is also the co-editor of the book Investor Behavior: The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing. The topic is behavioral finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Risk perception vs. risk tolerance The affect and the anchoring heuristic Behavioral finance vs. behavioral economics Looking at behavioral finance in the context of specific strategies Behavioral economics in the context of asset bubbles and the popping of asset bubbles Why economic growth does not increase happiness; mindfulness as an assist in the notion of good decision-making; the notion of animal spirits Behavioral school vs. the classical school in academia Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, t

My guest today is Michael Dever, an American businessman, futures trader, entrepreneur, and author. Dever is the founder and CEO of Brandywine Asset Management, Inc., an investment management firm founded in 1982. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Multiple fundamentally based strategies in a systematic diversified portfolio that trades across more than one hundred global markets; strategy diversification The word "predictable" from Dever's perspective; lack of correlation to other strategies What Dever means by a "not purely quantitative" strategy How and why this particular suite of strategies came to exist The five strategy types Crisis events and black swans The weakness in the multiple strategy return driver set The importance of speculators The fixation on low volatility strategies True portfolio diversification. Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Inve

My guest today is Tim Ferriss, an author, blogger and motivational speaker known for his bestselling books The 4-Hour Workweek, The 4-Hour Body and The 4-Hour Chef. Ferriss is otherwise known as the guy who has revolutionized the idea of writing a book; he has engineered the process of a bestseller. The topic is his TV show The Tim Ferriss Experiment. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the wrestler Dan Gable is part of Ferriss' drive The "grinding" aspect of wrestling, and how that has played into Ferriss' career The early lessons learned about making a TV show The 80/20 rule Comparisons to the Turtle experiment The idea of getting older, recovery, and athletics Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like t

My guest today is Tim Price, the London-based Director of Investment at PFP Wealth Management. Price has over 20 years of experience in both private client and institutional investment management. The topic is his blog The Price of Everything. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the fundamentals are so 'shocking' FDR and the Great Depression Why government taking its hands out of the equation can be the solution in a recession or depression Why savers suffer in silence The three scenarios that occur when you accept that much debt simply cannot be paid back (growth, default, or inflation) The standoff between Germany and Greece, and how the average German might feel today about common currency The lack of outrage of zero interest rate policy Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend follo

My guest today is K.D. Angle. Angle began trading the futures markets in 1979 and developed his first rules-based trading strategy in 1984. In 1985 he created a newsletter called "The Timing Device" that specialized in making specific trade recommendations in the futures markets. After 1995, Angle retired the newsletter and went into asset management on a full time basis while investing the majority of his time and resources into researching and developing rules-based strategies. The topic is trading the futures market. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Angle's father's history, who turned a two million dollar gold investment into a hundred million in just six months, and the lessons learned Whether there was an early trend trading influence beyond looking at Angle's father's career; Angle's experience with Dunn Capital Freedom of location 100% rule-based and systematic trading vs. adding discretionary elements to your system Why the client part of the business is so important Jump in! --

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Speech and William Ury Interview on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conver

My guest today is Colin Camerer, an American behavioral economist and a Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Finance and Economics at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech). Camerer's research is on the interface between cognitive psychology and economics. This work seeks a better understanding of the psychological and neurobiological basis of decision-making in order to determine the validity of models of human economic behavior. His research uses mostly economics experiments—and occasionally field studies—to understand how people behave when making decisions (e.g., risky gambles for money), in games, and in markets (e.g., speculative price bubbles). The topics are cognitive psychology and economics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why Camerer was called a child prodigy, and how he looks at that term in the context of nurture vs. nature Synthesizing behavioral economics and neuroscience; understanding Camerer's studies when traders aren't looking at the market on a day-to-day

Please enjoy my monologue The Bitcoin Episode with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Correlation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Gary Dayton. Dayton stands apart as a trading psychologist in his use of the Mindfulness-Acceptance-Commitment (MAC) approach to peak performance, a model of human behavior based on mindfulness. Dayton is a psychologist and holds a doctorate in clinical psychology and a certificate in human performance/sport psychology from Rutgers University. He is President of Peak Psychology, Inc., a consulting firm that specializes in developing "peak" performance in traders. The topic is his book Trade Mindfully: Achieve Your Optimum Trading Performance with Mindfulness and Cutting-Edge Psychology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Mindfulness, yoga, and a turnaround in a particularly depressed patient Defining mindfulness How Dayton went from a clinical psychologist to integrating money, markets, trading, and investing into his work The importance of a trading process Looking at the lessons and research of Daniel Kahneman The endowment effect Price action as a heuristic The importan

My guest today is Brian Proctor, an original TurtleTrader trained by Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt and today is a Managing Director at EMC Capital. He began his futures career in 1982, with experience at both the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade. Proctor was a participant in the renowned Turtle Program, and managed all trading operations at C&D Commodities through 2000. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Proctor's first trading moments and the Turtle program Proctor's view on Liz Cheval, what she brought to his firm, and why she's still an integral part of EMC today How trend following strategies have continued to excel over the years Diversification and the Swiss franc Black swans and how the impossible can and does happen Bill Eckhardt's influence Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics,

My guest today is Douglas Emlen, a professor at the University of Montana. He is the recipient of the Presidential Early Career Award in Science and Engineering from the Office of Science and Technology Policy at the White House. He has also earned multiple research awards from the National Science Foundation, including their five-year CAREER award. The topic is his book Animal Weapons: The Evolution of Battle. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Taking our lessons from animals The connection with human and animal arms races International hacking Comparing the fiddler crap to US and USSR bombers during the cold war Defining evolutionary biology How an arms race can run its course via the example of the sabertooth tiger The arms race in the trading world How the cuttlefish has found its way around the "alpha" system Finding "workarounds" when the deck is stacked against you War games and detente Why predictability in weapons is important One-on-one showdowns The importance of being nimble Ju

My guest today is Nigol Koulajian, the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Quest Partners LLC. He has been designing and trading short-term and long-term technical systems for over 22 years. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Trend following performance in 2014 Volatility vs. skew Why having a good Sharpe Ratio is not the be-all-end-all The notion that alpha in the CTA world is not a result of skill Correlation between tail risk and the Sharpe Ratio Central bank action and the Swiss Franc Why trend following may not be as good in equity market corrections now as it has been in the past Why trend following is not about the super-complicated mathematics Getting outsiders to understand drawdowns Emotional intelligence vs. intellectual intelligence Media bias against trend following Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, polit

My guest today is Terrance Odean, the Rudd Family Foundation Professor and Chair of the Finance Group at the Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley. Odean has extensively researched into the empirical data on active trading. He is very well-known for his work in behavioral finance and is once of the early pioneers. The topic is his extensive research into the empirical data on active trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Odean describes his work How Odean started his work looking at individual broker statements The disposition effect How Odean was able to get individual investor data when he was starting out Looking at early thinkers in the arena of behavioral finance Why people buy low and sell high Why statistics are one of the best ways to understand what's going on in the market The difference between male and female investors Why overconfidence hurts investors Attention and how we make decisions Why a simple heuristic from Seinfeld could be the best way for m