Thinking Clearly
#39-Bob and Julia discuss the base rate fallacy, superforecasting, and regression to the mean
- Author: Vários
- Narrator: Vários
- Publisher: Podcast
- Duration: 0:52:05
- More information
Informações:
Synopsis
This episode focuses on the power of understanding statistics and probability, including how avoiding base rate neglect can help you make better decisions. Also discussed are: superforecasting (what it takes to make more accurate predictions of future events) and the power of understanding the statistical principle of regression toward the mean.