Thebaseline.co - The Podcast For Creators, Experimenters, Polymaths And Innovators Hungry For New Ideas

Superforecasting is the ability to think about the future with unusual accuracy by analysing the problem and counteracting our innate biases. In this interview, I talk to Nick Hare who is a superforecaster. Nick explains how the future can be understood by breaking it down into a series of quantifiable "knows". We also dig into his background in government intelligence and his work teaching other firms to do this, we discuss how people normally predict and how the work of The Good Judgement project is training more people to predict accurately. More about the baseline podcast: https://thebaseline.co/podcast Ping me on twitter: @danfrost Enjoy!